War has always sparked unpredictable social reactions as Russian history has recorded again and again, from the first and unsuccessful uprising of 1905 after the Tsushima defeat to the victorious revolutions of 1917 amidst WWI, down to the failed adventure in Afghanistan and the subsequent implosion of the Soviet regime during the final days of the Cold War. And yet the strategic mistake of the Ukraine war and the Wagner rebellion is unlikely to bring about similarly disruptive effects in the short term.